Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000470 0.000525 0.000586 0.000658 0.000743 0.000840 0.000960
2025-01-19 0.000392 0.000468 0.000559 0.000679 0.000836 0.001038 0.001325
2025-01-26 0.000325 0.000405 0.000507 0.000651 0.000855 0.001144 0.001601
2025-02-02 0.000290 0.000374 0.000487 0.000656 0.000912 0.001307 0.002002
2025-02-09 0.000268 0.000355 0.000479 0.000673 0.000988 0.001513 0.002543
2025-02-16 0.000249 0.000339 0.000470 0.000687 0.001059 0.001727 0.003181
2025-02-23 0.000236 0.000329 0.000469 0.000711 0.001152 0.002004 0.004079
2025-03-02 0.000221 0.000314 0.000459 0.000718 0.001212 0.002235 0.005001
2025-03-09 0.000205 0.000296 0.000440 0.000705 0.001233 0.002390 0.005819
2025-03-16 0.000194 0.000284 0.000430 0.000708 0.001283 0.002627 0.007043
2025-03-23 0.000185 0.000274 0.000424 0.000716 0.001347 0.002919 0.008702
2025-03-30 0.000177 0.000267 0.000420 0.000728 0.001424 0.003274 0.010981
2025-04-06 0.000166 0.000253 0.000404 0.000715 0.001443 0.003491 0.013041
2025-04-13 0.000160 0.000248 0.000405 0.000738 0.001558 0.004068 0.018004
2025-04-20 0.000149 0.000232 0.000382 0.000707 0.001529 0.004161 0.020315
2025-04-27 0.000142 0.000225 0.000376 0.000711 0.001598 0.004640 0.026728
2025-05-04 0.000138 0.000221 0.000376 0.000731 0.001713 0.005382 0.038497
2025-05-11 0.000134 0.000217 0.000374 0.000746 0.001822 0.006185 0.056052
2025-05-18 0.000131 0.000215 0.000378 0.000774 0.001979 0.007364 0.091488
2025-05-25 0.000126 0.000209 0.000373 0.000781 0.002072 0.008319 0.138994
2025-06-01 0.000120 0.000201 0.000361 0.000767 0.002088 0.008859 0.188085
2025-06-08 0.000116 0.000196 0.000356 0.000769 0.002165 0.009885 0.300472
2025-06-15 0.000113 0.000192 0.000353 0.000778 0.002272 0.011272 0.553669